Natural Decadal Climate Variability

Phenomena, Mechanisms, and Predictability.

This book familiarizes readers with the importance of understanding and predicting DCV phenomena and its distinction from ACC phenomena and explains the physics of DCV and clarifies the results of new observations and research. It addresses questions raised for possible solutions, for observing system requirements and model developments.

Natural decadal climate variability (DCV) and its interactions with anthropogenic climate change (ACC) are vitally important to understand to predict the future of the Earth’s climate. This book, after familiarizing readers with the importance of understanding and predicting DCV phenomena and its distinction from ACC phenomena, comprehensively explains the physics of DCV, integrating paleoclimate proxy and modern instrument-based data and simulations with climate models.

Features of this book:

• Uniquely focuses on natural DCV, its physics, and its predictability
• Presents an integrated view of DCV phenomena based on approximately 700 peer-reviewed publications cited in the book
• Includes research on influences of decadal variability in solar emissions on the Earth’s climate, with a historical perspective going back several centuries
• Describes progress in decadal climate predictability and prediction research, with a historical perspective on weather and climate predictability research

This book is an excellent resource for graduate students, faculty members and other teachers and researchers, and anyone who is interested in learning about a very important component of the puzzle of the changing climate.

"This book provides a comprehensive review…. Highlighted throughout the book are potential links between DCV and solar variability, a fascinating topic that has engaged our minds for centuries. Written by an expert with more than 30 years’ experience, this book should be an invaluable resource for students and researchers interested in how our climate will evolve over the coming decades."

Doug Smith, Decadal Climate Prediction Leader, Meteorological Office Hadley Centre, UK

"This book is a tour de force by the author who has spent his career studying decadal climate variability. He brings new insights to the vast scope of this topic, providing clearly understandable descriptions of the various aspects."

Gerald Meehl, Senior Scientist, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Colorado, USA

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